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  Books : The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable


List Price: $26.95
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Binding: Hardcover
Dewey Decimal Number: 003.54
EAN: 9781400063512
ISBN: 1400063515
Label: Random House
Manufacturer: Random House
Number Of Items: 1
Number Of Pages: 400
Publication Date: April 17, 2007
Publisher: Random House
Release Date: April 17, 2007
Sales Rank: 222
Studio: Random House




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Customer Reviews
Average Rating:  out of 5 stars

Rating: 5 out of 5 stars - Fantastic perspectives that increase your own horizons
Loved it. Great thinking, fantastic perspectives..like this gem referring to Umberto Eco's library "He is the owner of a large personal library (containing thirty thousand books), and separates visitors into two categories: those who react with "Wow! Signore professore dottore Eco, what a library you have! How many of these books have you read?" and the others -- a very small minority -- who get the point that a private library is not an ego-boosting appendage but a research tool. Read books are ... Read More



Rating: 3 out of 5 stars - The author seems to fall into ludic fallacy(page 182) which he wants to dispel
page 14: I still do not understand why the author thinks that an educated person is supposed to guess better than a layman about the outcome of a war. In fact any person is as much expert in that endeavor as any other.

page 21: I still can not see the relationship between war and finance in the context.


for a philosopher examining problems in induction the boundary between true/false is not well drawn.

page 44: I wonder if he is naive. What does he ... Read More



Rating: 4 out of 5 stars - Black Swan
Whether you risk manage for a living or just want to open your mind to all possibility this is a great read.



Rating: 4 out of 5 stars - fun and interesting yet uneven
Let me put it this way: I enjoyed some chapters more than others. The first two thirds of the book is an excellent introduction into epistemology and the problem of induction. To the lay reader without experience in such matters, epistemological issues will be brought forward in a highly entertaining and relevant manner. Many questions and ideas that I (and I assume most readers) have sometimes pondered (though not as eloquently) are articulated by Taleb here. For instance, our modern day categories ... Read More



Rating: 4 out of 5 stars - Food for your brains
This book is good. Maybe I don't even understand how good it is. The way Taleb is writing gets to your ego; he feels so cocky. But, yes, man has a point. I started to laugh to myself and to my capabilities of "estimating" and even "thinking" while reading this book. Taleb has interesting view point to life; don't try to predict it, or forecast it, life will fool you anyway, sucker! Don't believe in your most valued economic forecasters, they don't know much, unfortunate... for them. Expose your self ... Read More







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